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AI credit underwriting

Upstart - Pioneering AI Credit Underwriting (Pt.2)
Upstart

Upstart - Pioneering AI Credit Underwriting (Pt.2)

Summary * Upstart’s model improvements post-Model 18 have unlocked broader bank approvals and lowered default rates. * Conversion rates have nearly doubled in five quarters, validating model efficiency and product-market fit. * Upstart’s improved outcomes have enabled it to negotiate higher take rates, supporting better unit economics. * Real-time automation is reducing CAC and enabling margin expansion as volume scales. * Despite negative FCF, a 10.9x EV/GP and DCF-supported upside sugges
13 min read 24 Sep 2025
Upstart - Pioneering AI Credit Underwriting (Pt.1)
Upstart
15 min read 16 Sep 2025

Upstart - Pioneering AI Credit Underwriting (Pt.1)

Summary * Fintech’s first wave overpromised disintermediation; the next wave is about improving bank unit economics — and Upstart is proving that better underwriting, not just better UX, drives real value. * Traditional banks still lean heavily on FICO-based models that overlook rich, modern data sources like payroll streams and real-

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